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Week Ahead Highlights: Central Banks in Focus, US Jobs Data, PMIs, OPEC Watch

Week Ahead Highlights: Central Banks in Focus, US Jobs Data, PMIs, OPEC Watch

OPEC MEETING (SUN): + is widely expected to keep its pause on oil output increases in place for March when eight key members meet on Sunday, after a sharp rebound in prices this month. Delegates told Reuters there is little appetite to change policy after climbed by around 8% in January to above USD 70/bbl,…

Fundamental Analysis

Where Prediction Markets Fit in Portfolios

Where Prediction Markets Fit in Portfolios

Modern portfolios are highly optimized for market risk — and poorly equipped to hedge event risk. Investors can hedge rates, inflation, volatility, credit spreads, and equity drawdowns with increasing precision. What remains difficult to hedge are discrete, narrative-driven events such as elections, regulatory decisions, rocket launches, drug trials, and policy shifts. These events arrive suddenly,…

Fundamental Analysis

Gold Vs. Stocks: The Wrong Conclusion Can Be Costly

Gold Vs. Stocks: The Wrong Conclusion Can Be Costly

Why knee-jerk reactions can be particularly costly at the moment. is on the rise. For many, this is the reassuring news of recent weeks—a familiar signal in an environment that has become noisier again: geopolitical tensions, uncertain interest rate expectations, a fragile economy. And this is precisely where a dangerous reflex begins: when gold rises,…

Fundamental Analysis

USD/JPY in Focus as Bank of Japan Decision Approaches

USD/JPY in Focus as Bank of Japan Decision Approaches

The is back in the spotlight as markets brace for this week’s Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate decision, scheduled for Friday. While rates are widely expected to remain unchanged at 0.75%, the real market mover will be the policy statement and press conference, not the headline number. Recent price action across yen pairs highlights…

Fundamental Analysis

Week Ahead: Focus on US PCE, BoJ, China Activity Data, and Global PMIs

Week Ahead: Focus on US PCE, BoJ, China Activity Data, and Global PMIs

MON: US Holiday (MLK Day), Eurogroup Summit; EZ Final HICP (Dec), Canadian CPI (Dec), Chinese GDP (Q4), US Leading index (Oct), Housing Starts/Building Permits (Oct), Philadelphia Fed (Jan), New Home Sales (Nov), Australian Flash PMIs (Jan) TUE: PBoC LPR, EU Economic & Financial Affairs Council, UK Unemployment Rate & Average Earnings (Nov), Swiss Producer Prices…

Fundamental Analysis
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