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Market Psychology Is Driving Strong Correlation Between US Dollar, Bond Yields

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Our recent article, , explains that the recent 1% increase in yields, as shown below, is almost entirely due to negative sentiment. As we wrote, the bond market calls sentiment the term premium. Of the 1% yield increase, only 10% is due to fundamental factors, leaving 90% a function of bond investor concerns. Consequently, the…

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Technical Analysis

Week Ahead: FOMC, ECB, BoC, US PCE, EZ GDP, Tokyo and Australian CPI

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MON: Chinese Industrial Profit (Dec), German Ifo (Jan), US New Home Sales (Dec) TUE: ECB BLS (Q1); US Durable Goods (Dec), Richmond Fed (Jan), Tech Earnings WED: FOMC, Riksbank, BoC & BCB Policy Announcements; Australian CPI (Dec), German GfK (Feb), EZ M3 (Dec) THU: ECB & SARB Policy Announcements, CBRT Minutes (Jan), RBA Bulletin; EZ…

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Fundamental Analysis

How far can the relief rally go? By Investing.com

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Investing.com — Donald Trump’s inauguration week began with a relief rally in G10 currencies against the US dollar (USD), driven by a Wall Street Journal report hinting at a potential delay in tariffs. UBS strategists, citing their short-term valuation model, analyzed the rally, assessing the extent of tariff risk priced into currencies as of the…

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Forex

BlackRock Hits Historic BTC Milestone By U.Today

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U.Today – BlackRock (NYSE:) now holds an unheard of 60 billion worth of (BTC) across its iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), with 574,118.84380 BTC recorded on the ETF’s balance sheet. Recent data from Farside Investors shows that Bitcoin ETFs have recently received a total of 188.7 million, with BlackRock alone getting $154.6 million — 81% of…

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Cryptocurrency

Will TikTok actually be banned? By Investing.com

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Investing.com — The debate over whether TikTok will be banned in the United States has reached a critical juncture, with developments raising the stakes for the popular short-video platform.  The U.S. Supreme Court recently upheld a law requiring TikTok to divest from its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, or face a ban on U.S. operations.  While…

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